A new weekly Bitcoin (BTC) candle opened at $9,327 on June 15, under a crucial resistance level at $9,400. Traders say the price of Bitcoin could fall to the $7,000s in the near term.
Critical support levels in the short term are considered to be $9,200 and $9,000. If the price of Bitcoin falls both levels and remains in the $8,000s, some traders expect Bitcoin to fall to as low as $6,000.
Merely hours after the weekly candle open, the price of Bitcoin plunged to as low as $8,892 on BitMEX for the first time in two weeks.
$6,000 to $7,000: where traders see Bitcoin next
In the upcoming months, traders anticipate the price of Bitcoin to drop to the following levels: $7,700, $7,300, $7,100, $6,400 and $6,000.
All of the abovementioned price points hold historical significance. The $6,400 level for instance, is where Bitcoin bottomed out following a steep 40% drop in December 2019 to rally above $10,000 in the next six weeks that followed.
Cryptocurrency investor Scott Melker said if Bitcoin fails to hold $9,270, it is likely to see lower in the foreseeable future:
“That hourly divergence was enough for a little bounce, but this large ascending wedge appears to be breaking down on the daily. Hold $9,270 or we will likely see lower.”
In the short to medium term, cryptocurrency trader Satoshi Flipper emphasized that the $9,000 to $9,200 support range is crucial to maintain the momentum of Bitcoin. If Bitcoin remains below $9,000 and $9,200, the trader said a deep downtrend can be expected.
Bitcoin price at a crucial point that may decide months of downtrend. Source: Satoshi Flipper
Throughout the past month, spot volume in the Bitcoin market has been relatively stagnant while futures trading activity surged. The concerning trend of daily BTC volume could reduce the resilience of the top cryptocurrency against a potential sell-off.
Bitcoin spot volume trend since mid-May. Source: Skew.com
Be aware for heightened levels of selling from miners
According to data from BTC.com, the Bitcoin mining difficulty adjustment is set to occur in about 30 hours.
Initially, the mining difficulty of Bitcoin was estimated to increase by around 12%. Now, the difficulty is about to correct more than 14%.
The mining difficulty of Bitcoin is set to increase by 14.4%. Source: BTC.com
In simple terms, it will get 14% more difficult for miners to mine Bitcoin overnight, leading to increased costs to mine BTC every day, which may result in higher levels of selling from miners.
As Bitcoin investor Willy Woo previously said, miners account for one of the two unmatched sources of selling pressure in the Bitcoin market:
“There’s only two unmatched sell pressures on the market. (1) Miners who dilute the supply and sell onto the market, this is the hidden tax via monetary inflation. And (2) the exchanges who tax the traders and sell onto the market.”
With Bitcoin dropping below $9,000, additional selling pressure from miners may raise the likelihood of a correction in the near term.