Market Analysis
Data shows that BTC’s “average annual returns have gradually declined, with no peaks at all in the last cycle, confirming the hypothesis that Bitcoin's risk/return structure has changed.”
Daniele Bernardi
Daniele Bernardi is a former Cointelegraph writer, serial entrepreneur, and the founder of the Diaman group. He serves as the CEO of asset management firm Diaman Partners and manages a crypto hedge fund. Specializing in mathematical model development for risk reduction, he is the author of The Genesis of Crypto Assets and holds a patent in the field of mobile payments.
Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle is broken, and this time, data proves it - Market Analysis
Estimating Bitcoin's support levels for the next cycle bottom Using Monte Carlo simulations and the 200-week moving average, Diaman Partners estimates Bitcoin's next cycle bottom could range from $60,000 to $80,000 by 2026.
- Opinion
What will the Bitcoin price be in 2025 and 2045? Daniele Bernardi shares key insights into the future price of Bitcoin.
- Opinion
Demand is driving the price of Bitcoin to $130K Data that accurately predicted when Bitcoin would decline in 2021 now indicates that it will climb to $130,000 — and possibly higher.
- Expert Take
Not all investments lose value equally: A recovery period for digital assets With Bitcoin’s impressive recovery characteristic, could having it and other digital assets in an investment portfolio speed up the recovery time of the entire portfolio?
- Opinion
Three reasons why PlanB’s stock-to-flow model is not reliable Here are three reasons why PlanB’s prediction isn’t accurate and why we can’t expect Bitcoin’s price to increase 10x after each halving.
- Expert Take
Forecasting Bitcoin price using quantitative models, Part 3 To understand where the value of Bitcoin is headed, we need to study the adoption rate of cryptocurrencies in the world.
- Expert Take
Forecasting Bitcoin price using quantitative models, Part 2 A deep dive into the three bubbles Bitcoin has faced during its existence, and how the BTC halving phenomenon impacts the price.