Key takeaways:
XRP/BTC is up around 300% since Trump’s election victory.
The pair could rally by another 100%-250% due to multiple bullish setups aligning.
XRP (XRP) has outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) by nearly 300% since US President Donald Trump’s election to a second term in November, with tailwinds from Ripple’s SEC lawsuit settlement and growing spot ETF speculation fueling the rally.
The key question is whether XRP can keep outperforming Bitcoin as the bull cycle matures or if history will repeat with BTC reclaiming the spotlight.
Classic chart pattern hints at 100% gains for XRP
The XRP/BTC weekly chart shows the crypto market’s “most reliable” bullish reversal pattern, dubbed inverse head-and-shoulders (IH&S).
On Monday, the pair was under the pattern’s neckline resistance near 3,145 satoshi (1 satoshi equals 0.00000001 BTC).
A decisive close above this level could validate the formation and open the door to a run toward 5,700 satoshi — more than 100% higher than current levels — by the end of 2025.
XRP also printed a “golden cross” on its weekly time frame in August, when its 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA; the red wave) climbed above the 200-week EMA (the blue wave).
The crossover reinforces bullish momentum and strengthens the case that XRP could outpace Bitcoin deep into the current cycle.
XRP eyes 250% rally if 2019-era resistance breaks
XRP is pressing into a resistance band it has failed to clear since mid-2019.
Spanning the 2,440–3,570 satoshi range, this red zone has repeatedly rejected upside attempts, with regulatory headwinds from the SEC’s lawsuit over XRP’s security status keeping bulls at bay.
Ripple’s partial settlement earlier in 2025 has eased those concerns, fueling speculation that this cycle could finally deliver the breakout that eluded XRP in previous bull markets.
“We are looking to see if we can build enough momentum for us to break out here,” wrote chartist Cryptoinsighttuk, noting that a breakout above the 2,440–3,570 satoshi range could push XRP/BTC to as high as 9,000 satoshi.
XRP’s bullish case may also get a boost from a general altcoin rotation.
Coinbase Institutional’s head of research, David Duong, wrote in an August outlook that market conditions “now suggest a potential shift toward a full-scale altcoin season as we approach September.”
By Coinbase’s definition, that happens when 75% of the top 50 altcoins outperform Bitcoin over a 90-day window.
Related: XRP stuck in downtrend, but 3 data points forecast 85% bounce to new highs
Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance has slipped to around 57%, its lowest since January, hinting at early stages of capital rotation and positioning XRP as a key beneficiary.
As Cointelegraph reported, the start of this “altseason” could be delayed until the approval of more cryptocurrency ETFs in the United States.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.