Prediction Markets News

Stephanie Cutter will join the prediction markets company as a policy adviser, having previously worked in Democratic lawmakers’ campaigns.

The prediction market is introducing price-based contracts tied to stocks and commodities, using Pyth data feeds as the "resolution source" to automatically settle outcomes.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission claims it "first officially recognized" event contracts in 1992 and that Congress has granted it sole authority over the market.

Polymarket’s March 30 fee overhaul lifted daily fees and revenue, but how long the spike lasts is unclear as regulatory pressure builds.

As part of the offering, Paradigm is also exploring an internal market-making desk for prediction market trading and a prediction market index.

“There’s a myth in mainstream media and social media that insider trading doesn’t apply in the prediction markets … That is wrong,” said CFTC enforcement director David Miller.

The #2 Texas state official called on lawmakers to study “the sudden inundation of prediction market gambling“ as other jurisdictions take the platforms to court.

Prediction markets are facing increasing scrutiny over allegations of insider trading, prompting Kalshi and Polymarket to plan guardrails to curb potential incidents.

CFTC Chair Michael Selig signaled that the agency would defer to the football league in calling for changes to event contracts that could be manipulated by a single person.

Bernstein says crypto-linked equities like Coinbase, Robinhood and Figure now trade about 60% below last year’s peaks, but analysts see growth in revenue and earnings through 2027.

The Polymarket trader quickly bought $676 worth of one-cent shares in Tyrell Fortune winning the fight after he realized the UFC announcer called out the wrong winner.

Monthly notional trading volume for prediction markets has reached roughly $23.7 billion so far in March, up sharply from $1.9 billion at the same time last year.

Arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets often exist for seconds, giving AI-driven systems a structural advantage over humans.

The executive order is the latest in a wave of legal actions in the US seeking to curb government insider trading on prediction markets.

Regulatory uncertainty shakes stablecoins as institutions push forward, prediction markets tighten rules and AI agents reshape micropayment economics.