Prediction Markets News

Prediction market volume scales every month, as resolution infrastructure becomes a bottleneck. Opaque outcomes drive capital to headline markets only.

“This ends today,“ said CFTC Chair Michael Selig, who has been reiterating his position that the agency has exclusive jurisdiction overseeing prediction markets platforms.

CFTC Chair Michael Selig has said that the agency has authority over prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket and warned it will defend that jurisdiction in court if challenged.

Kalshi claims in a preemptive lawsuit that there is “a substantial risk” that Iowa will take action against it after a meeting it had with state regulators.

Clear Street and Marex Group are planning to offer prediction markets to clients, with Kalshi’s CEO tipping it to become a “core pillar of the financial ecosystem.”

Democratic Senator Adam Schiff introduced a bill to ban prediction markets related to war, death and terrorism amid escalating insider trading concerns related to military operations.

The prediction markets platform argued for an injunction against Ohio authorities, claiming that federal commodities laws superseded state laws on sports event contracts.

Michael Selig said blockchain-powered prediction markets could improve price discovery and public information, even as several US states challenge the platforms in court.

"Sinners" star Michael B. Jordan’s odds of winning the Best Actor Oscar jumped from 10% on March 1 after he won the SAG best actor award.

The plaintiffs characterized the death carveout in a prediction market for the former Iranian Supreme Leader's ouster as "deceptive."

Lawmakers are pushing new regulation for prediction markets after suspiciously timed Polymarket bets on US and Israeli strikes on Iran raised insider-trading concerns.

Prediction markets are prone to insider trading vulnerabilities. Geopolitical contract spikes ahead of public news undermine credibility and block institutional adoption.

Senator Chris Murphy says it’s likely people close to Donald Trump with “inside information” made bets on prediction markets on when the US would strike Iran.

The two separate rulings add new regulatory pressure as prediction markets also face scrutiny over information advantages and suspected insider activity tied to event-driven contracts.

The offering could enable traders to bet on the stock performance of Nasdaq-100 companies such as Nvidia, Apple, Google and Tesla.