In the latest episode of Cointelegraph’s The Market Report, analyst Marcel Pechman delves into Bitcoin’s recent drop to $26,000. Derivatives market analysis shows Bitcoin (BTC) options and futures metrics lack signs of professional traders going bearish, and while that doesn’t guarantee a quick return to $29,000 support, it reduces the chances of an extended correction.
Pechman presents a Kaiko data chart on BTC liquidity and volatility, which significantly decreased since the FTX collapse in November 2022. And with no liquidity issues or heightened volatility indicated, did the 11.4% mid-August price drop worsen conditions due to the largest futures liquidations since November 2022?
Bitcoin futures premium settled at a neutral 6% after the recent $26,000 crash, signaling balanced demand between leveraged longs and shorts. This aligns with a neutral -7% to 7% BTC options skew, suggesting reasonable downside protection prices.
Reviewing another article, Pechman discusses macroeconomic analyst Lyn Alden’s take on a common currency proposal among BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa). Alden doesn’t see it succeeding — a view shared by Pechman. However, Alden notes a weakened United States dollar if BRICS use their own currencies for foreign trade, giving unconventional advice to crypto investors.
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