Bitcoin failed to hold $97,000 as its funding rate stalled and retail traders watched from the sidelines. Will TradFi reignite the rally to $100,000?
Federal Reserve News
The Federal Reserve. or The Federal Reserve System, is the central bank of the United States that was founded in 1913 by the U.S. Congress in order to establish central financial control. The Federal Reserve is responsible for a lot of functions, so some may become confused about its role and ask the question “what does the Federal Reserve do?” The main objectives of the Federal Reserve System were established along with its founding in 1913. They are: maximizing employment, stabilizing prices and moderating long-term interest rates. Those are achieved by open-market operations, placing the discount rate, and establishing reserve requirements for financial institutions. Decisions and prognoses of the Federal Reserve are crucial for world’s economy because most economic operations are dependent on the U.S. dollar, which falls under the Federal Reserve’s control.
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Crypto markets saw the biggest short squeeze since October as short positions were liquidated and Bitcoin outperformed the US dollar amid geopolitical uncertainty.
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Bitcoin’s muted 2025 rally and fading altcoin cycle point to a structural market shift, leaving crypto’s 2026 outlook tied to institutions, rates and retail return.
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Crypto experts say political pressure on the US Federal Reserve could drive volatility, but also shift flows toward Bitcoin and gold in the long run.
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VanEck expects stronger risk appetite in Q1 on improved fiscal and monetary visibility, while warning that Bitcoin’s cycle signals remain mixed.
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Bitcoin led with $405 million of outflows last week, with the US shedding $569 million, as several altcoins and European funds posted modest inflows.
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Bitcoin’s non-sovereign narrative is gaining attention as reports of a probe into US Fed Chair Jerome Powell raise concerns over political pressure and markets.
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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said a Justice Department investigation should be viewed in the context of mounting political pressure over the Fed’s interest rate independence.
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Gold and silver, both seen as “stores of value,” briefly retook their positions as the two biggest assets by market cap. Bitcoin sits in the eighth position.
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Bitcoin hit a three-week high, but derivatives and spot ETF flows show traders remained cautious, signalling limited confidence in further upside for now.
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The Federal Reserve’s December dot plot revealed sharp divisions on 2026 rate cuts, with analysts predicting one to two cuts could shape crypto momentum.
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Fed rate cuts in 2026 could revive retail crypto demand, but market odds suggest investors remain skeptical about how aggressively the central bank will ease.
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Silver’s recent price surge mirrors Bitcoin’s trademark volatility. The precious metal is swinging wildly on rate cut bets and shifting industrial demand.
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Cynthia Lummis says the Fed’s proposed “skinny” accounts for crypto firms could curb debanking and bring an end to Operation Chokepoint 2.0.
6435 - Price Analysis
Bitcoin and several major altcoins attempted to start a relief rally, but higher levels continue to attract strong selling by the bears.
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