News
The prediction market's Dutch arm, Adventure One, allegedly offered illegal bets, including on elections in the Netherlands.
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Polymarket News
Polymarket is a prediction market platform built using blockchain technology that lets people speculate on the outcome of real-world events by trading shares tied to those outcomes. It’s often described as the world’s largest decentralized prediction market.
At its core, Polymarket is a peer-to-peer prediction market:
Like other prediction markets, Polymarket’s markets are tied to questions like “Will X happen?”
You can buy “Yes” or “No” shares on an outcome.
The price reflects its implied probability (e.g., $0.70 ≈ 70% chance) and this is commonly referred to as ‘the wisdom of the crowd’.
Trade or Hold: You can trade those shares with others before the event resolves, similar to trading financial assets.
Resolution: After the event concludes, the correct outcome is verified (often via decentralized oracles) and winners are paid.
This means that the user is not just placing a fixed-odds bet — they are participating in a market that aggregates collective beliefs about future events. Polymarket markets cover a wide range of topics, such as:
- Politics and elections.
- Economic indicators and macro outcomes.
- Sports and entertainment events.
- Weather, culture, tech milestones, and more.
- How to
Polymarket’s lawsuit challenges state authority and could redefine whether the CFTC controls US prediction markets or whether states set their own rules.
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The Prediction Markets Working Group, launched by The Digital Chamber, will champion the sector’s values while advocating for the CFTC to maintain primary oversight.
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The integration gives ICE Chat users direct access to the exchange's OTC crypto liquidity, embedding digital asset trading within established institutional workflows.
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Polygon briefly surpassed Ethereum in daily fees as Polymarket activity surged, highlighting shifting user demand toward Layer-2 networks.
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Bitcoin’s growing correlation with tech stocks challenges its digital gold narrative, as Ether treasuries, BlackRock and Polymarket make bold moves.
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Delaying the CLARITY market structure bill until 2027, after the US midterm elections, may significantly reduce its chances of passage, the Treasury secretary said.
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Israeli authorities said a military reservist and a civilian were arrested after allegedly using classified information to place bets related to military strikes on Iran.
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Polymarket is challenging Massachusetts in federal court, arguing that states lack the authority to regulate CFTC-approved prediction markets.
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Wall Street–style liquidity is reportedly moving into prediction markets, signaling a shift toward deeper markets, higher volumes and greater institutional participation.
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Polymarket will migrate from bridged USDC on Polygon to Circle-issued native USDC, reducing reliance on cross-chain bridges as prediction markets expand.
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The grocery giveaways come as Kalshi and Polymarket lead prediction market trading volumes, which have recently exceeded $400 million per day.
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Bullish traders finally showed up to buy the dip in Bitcoin and altcoins as they fell to new 2026 lows, but selling at the intraday range highs may prove that the market correction is far from over.
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Bitcoin bets on Polymarket show elevated downside risk in 2026 as analysts point to bearish trends and tight US liquidity conditions.
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Polymarket will be the prediction market partner for the US Major League Soccer with the plan to offer “ways to engage more deeply with the game.”
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