A Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst says there are “good” signs that a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) will soon be approved, pointing to Ark Invest filing for a Bitcoin futures ETF with an assigned ticker and Valkyrie updating its own ETF prospectus with a ticker.
According to Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas, firms typically update their proposals when they have everything set and “ready for launch,” suggesting that Valkyrie may soon be given the green light by the United State Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
Balchunas also pointed to Ark Invests’ Bitcoin futures ETF application on Thursday in partnership with 21Shares and white-label Alpha Architect, noting that the assigned ARKA ticker was “another good sign” that the SEC was set to give a tick.
People keep asking me what I'm looking for first to confirm SEC approval and it is these type of updated prospectus filings. That's what happens right bf a launch, they fill in all the XXs and add ticker. That said, this is bitcoin so WTF knows for sure lol.— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) October 13, 2021
Referring to Valkyrie's ETF, the analyst added that he looks for “these type” of updated prospectus filings when determining whether an official SEC greenlight is incoming, and said that applicants often update the final details “right before” launch. He conceded that with the crypto sector, nothing is certain.
Permabear Mr Whale downplayed the significance of the Ark Invest news, saying that all Ark did was update its “ARKW ETF prospectus” to say that it may gain exposure to BTC via exchange-traded funds in Canada.
However, Ark’s latest ETF filing with the SEC does not mention the word “Canada” and the application clearly outlines that the fund is seeking to invest in “exchange-traded Bitcoin futures contracts that are cash-settled in U.S. dollars” on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).
ALSO notable, this is the second straight filing to not have the word "Canada" in it. It ONLY invests in futures no BTCC or GBTC options. Rumor is SEC no like that and wants them to be strictly futures. pic.twitter.com/l8KTxFtWH8— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) October 13, 2021
The price of BTC has surged 28% since the start of October to sit at around $57,500 at the time of writing. Many onlookers have attributed the recent pump to expectations that the SEC will soon approve a futures-based Bitcoin ETF.
Balchunas stated earlier this month that Bitcoin futures-backed ETFs have a high chance of being approved in October. He argued that they are regulated under the “40 Act” which is favored by the SEC as it offers greater consumer protections than physically-backed Bitcoin ETFs regulated under the “33 Act.”
“Yes, the SEC has kicked can on Bitcoin ETF approval BUT that is for the physically-backed ones under '33 Act,” he said and added:
“The futures ETFs filed under the '40 Act (which Genz loves) are very much alive and likely on schedule (we think 75% chance approved in Oct).”
Opinions vary, however, and Todd Rosenbluth, senior director of ETFs and mutual fund research at research firm CFRA argued this week he believes that approval of a BTC futures ETF may be delayed until 2022.
Speaking on CNBC’s ETF Edge, Rosenbluth stated that the current clouded regulatory landscape could cause further delays and that the SEC could be waiting to approve all the ETFs simultaneously to avoid a “first-mover advantage.”
“It’s possible — in fact, we think it’s likely — that we’re going to see a delay of a Bitcoin futures ETF until 2022 until the regulatory environment is more clear,” he said.