Price Analysis 28/06: BTC, ETH, XRP, BCH, LTC, EOS, BNB, BSV, ADA, TRX
Is this correction a buying opportunity or has bitcoin made a short-term top? Let’s analyze the charts.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by the HitBTC exchange.
When an asset class jumps 275% within a span of six months, corrections are bound to happen. Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed one such violent correction on June 27. Fundstrat Global Advisers co-founder Thomas Lee said that the hyper volatility of bitcoin is an advantage to the dedicated traders who can take advantage of the volatility and trade accordingly. However, for others, he advised a long-term approach.
Galaxy Digital founder Mike Novogratz expects bitcoin to stabilize and consolidate between $10,000 and $14,000. He believes that the arrival of Facebook’s Libra will give confidence to the institutional traders to enter the space. Now, with Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon confirming that the investment bank is looking at tokenization, the institutions will have to take the plunge or risk being left behind.
A rising volume in an uptrend indicates increasing demand. The volume of bitcoin traded on BitMEX jumped to $13 billion on June 26. Its CEO, Arthur Hayes said that the volume and open interest build shows that the bear market is officially over. What can one expect from the major cryptocurrencies going forward? Let’s look at the charts and analyze.
Bitcoin reversed direction from $13,973.50 on June 26 and plunged to a low of $10,530.70 on June 27. That is a 24.63% fall within a day. The reason for such a sharp fall is that a vertical rally does not form any support levels en route. Hence, when the price starts falling, buyers do not step in until they spot a level that can act as a support. In this instance, buyers came in close to the 50% retracement of the latest leg of the rally. The 20-day EMA is located just below this level.
In a strong uptrend, the corrections usually last anywhere between one to three days. Currently, the bulls are attempting to resume the uptrend. They might face some resistance at $12,000 and above it at $13,000 but the real test will be at $13,973.50. If the BTC/USD pair breaks out of this resistance, the momentum will continue.
On the other hand, if the bears defend the overhead resistance, the pair might enter into a consolidation for a few days. On the downside, below $10,530.70, the next support is at $9,977.33, which is 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the latest leg of the rally. If this support cracks, the digital currency will weaken and can drop to the 50-day SMA.
Though Ether (ETH) had closed (UTC time frame) above $320.840 on June 26 and had completed a rounding bottom pattern, we had suggested traders to wait before buying. We wanted to recommend a trade on a successful retest of the breakout level.
However, the fall on June 27 dragged the price back towards the 20-day EMA, which held. Currently, the bulls are trying to propel the ETH/USD pair back above $320.840. If successful, it will be a positive sign. Both the moving averages are sloping up and the RSI is in the positive zone, which shows that bulls are in command. Therefore, traders can buy 50% of the desired allocation on a breakout and close above $320.840. The stop loss for this trade can be kept at $278.
However, if the bulls fail to scale the overhead resistance, the bears will try to sink the price below the 20-day EMA. The next support on the downside is at the 50-day SMA and below it $224.086.
Ripple (XRP) plummeted on June 27 and triggered our stop loss suggested in the previous analysis. It is currently trying to find support at the trendline of the symmetrical triangle. If this support holds, the bulls will again try to propel it above the resistance line of the triangle.
However, if the XRP/USD pair breaks down of the triangle, it will turn negative. Currently, the 20-day EMA has started to turn down and the RSI has dipped below 50. This suggests that the bears have the advantage in the near term. A drop below $0.35660 will turn the trend in favor of bears.
Bitcoin cash (BCH) plunged on June 27 and broke below both the moving averages. Currently, the bulls are attempting to push it back above the 20-day EMA. If the price rises above the 20-day EMA, it can move up to $515.35. On the upside, the zone between $515.45 and the resistance line of the channel will act as a strong barrier.
Conversely, if the bears sink the BCH/USD pair back below the 50-day SMA, it can correct to the support line of the channel. A breakdown of this support will indicate a change in trend. The 20-day EMA is flattening out and the RSI is just above 50, which suggests a balance between bulls and bears. We will wait for a buy setup to form before recommending a long position in it.
Litecoin (LTC) dropped below the 20-day EMA on June 26 and triggered our